https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2002695/000200269523000002/xslFormDX01/primary_doc.xml
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I think the New York Third could go either way, but the California Twentieth is solidly Republican.
So post-special elections the Republican majority will be 7 or 9.
Seven.
With Santo's expulsion it stands at 221 - 213. With McCarthy's resignation it will be 220 - 213.
The Special Election for NY's Third is February 13. Not sure when the California's Twentieth will occur.
Effective year end.
While the special election occurs to replace him, Republicans will be down a seat.
https://www.politico.com/news/2023/12/06/kevin-mccarthy-resignation-congress-00130359