To be clear: Spencer Lee will also have to have had the best tournament of his life to win Gold.
This is about medalling, not winning gold, and I think 25% is about spot on.
It is convenient to forget that Spencer Lee had to come back to beat Wanhou Zou of China via 10-9 Decision. The same Zou that got destroyed by the other semi-final winner Aman of India via 10-0 Tech a few months ago at Zagrab. The same Zou that got destroyed at last years Worlds via 10-0 Tech to Arsen Hartyunyan of Armenia. Two times in the last six or so months that someone teched him without allowing him to score a point on him... yet Spencer had to come back to win 10-9.
Chill out with the 'Guaranteed Gold' shit.
Zain is clearly better, but dumb things happen in close matches. The guy is better than Dest and we remember what happened their the last time Zain needed to win to qualify the weight.
His match will be a slugfest. The last time he lost via Tech was like 2019. He holds a win over last year's World Champ, and has many, many close losses to gents we all consider contenders (8-6, 6-3, etc) including a 5-2 loss to Ochir.
He was leaning too far back when Sujeet stood up.
sujeet standing up was unexpected and most wrestlers won't do that and all coaches won't coach that due to the possibility for a 4/5 point Dake bomb.
Zain bailed quickly out of fear for a counter-4.
I mean... Zain likes to pat the head... heavily.
Of all his matches this weekend that wasn't even a head pat. It was clearly an attempt to plead "Please don't let him hurt me, ref." before Zain could get it going.