I think the formula may spit Mesenbrink out, however the committee can move people up/down if required.
I could see where if Carr wins the dual and O'Toole wins the B12 a one-loss O'Toole being moved above Mesenbrink... 2x defending champ, etc. That route could put Carr at the 4 seed as well, due to Ramirez having the same amount of losses and having lost the H2H... BUT Carr does have more matches, so even with the same losses he will get the nod on that criteria due to winning percentage. Due to it putting them on the same side, I could see the committee NOT elevating O'Toole past Mesenbrink for the 1 seed, in that scenario.
The same the other way, too. If Carr wins B12 but loses the dual, I think they end up as the 2/3.
A lot is going to be dependent on the final coaches ranking, I think?