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Wrestleknownothing

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Everything posted by Wrestleknownothing

  1. And if his matches are officiated the way the ISU / Iowa dual was officiated, how many stalls does he get? What is the record?
  2. that should either be 88% vs 113% or 188% vs 213%. Mea culpa.
  3. Will PSU break the margin of victory record currently held by the 1986 Iowa Hawkeyes? Iowa won the tournament with 158 points while Oklahoma was runner up with 84.25, for a spread of 73.75 points (188%). Based on my projections PSU is looking at a 64 point margin of victory (120.5 vs 56.5 or 113%, but probably a lower % spread once bonus is added in). That assumes they and the runner up score the same bonus points. Is that a safe assumption? Interestingly Iowa under Gable also holds the record for smallest MOV, 0.5 points in 1978. That record can only ever be broken if they go back to quarter point scoring (from 1976 to 1987 a superior decision was worth 0.75 and from 1988 to 1994 a TF was worth 0.75).
  4. Orange you glad he didn't say banana?
  5. One more caveat. Every one of my predictions are wrong. But I am right on average.
  6. If AJ bets the over based on his own inside info, does that mean it will be the under?
  7. Yeah, Shapiro seems very low. And I still feel like Arujau is the favorite?
  8. Last year they had 4 guys seeded in the top 8. I had them projected at 3.1 going into the tourney. They finished with 2. Who ya got on your list?
  9. And who says you need 10 ranked wrestlers? Only Ohio State (11th), Iowa State (12th), and Rutgers (16th) have ten wrestlers in the Intermat Top 33, but each are expected to only have between 2 and 3 AA's.
  10. I am taking the under. Without any knowledge of the situation it seems to me it will be a daunting task to get AJ into school and in good academic standing.
  11. The hell it aint. There is an entire industry built around that fact.
  12. No, in this case it really doesn't. This whole thing is just a rabbit hole. A distraction. The point that this tangent flew off from was that someone thought Rich Perry would make a good Bloomsburg coach. But, but boy oh boy, they used an incorrect term in their supporting argument, and like a dog on a bone in swoops IatW to make it about anything but whether Rich Perry would make a good Bloomsburg coach.
  13. Let's start with the questions: Will PSU break the all-time scoring record? In 1997 Dan Gable's Iowa team scored 170 points. But the scoring rules were different back then. Adjusted for today's advancement, placement, and bonus points the total would be 170.5. That is the easy adjustment. The more difficult adjustment is deciding what impact the 3 point TD might have had in 1997. My back of the envelope math puts it at +4.5 to +7 based on some assumptions about regular decisions that may have tipped to majors, and majors that may have become tech falls. The pinfalls remain the same. Now we have 175 to 177.5 as the new target for PSU. That means something like 55 to 57 bonus points. Hmmmm. Last year's team scored 19 bonus points (inserting Nagao for Bravo-Young) and would have scored 30 bonus points with the 3 point TD. Even with the additions this year I just cannot see it happening via the bonus point route. This is not a team of David Taylors. So to beat Iowa's point total (adjusted or otherwise) PSU will have to outperform their seeds. Yikes. Is this the year of parity? Stay with me here. OK, so let's ignore that PSU is looking to more than double the second place total for a minute. The #2 through #10 teams are separated by only 14.8 points. Any of combination of these nine teams (and probably more) could round out the podium positions. Which three will it be? Based on pre-season rankings Cornell would join Nebraska and Michigan. Now it looks like Michigan, NC State, and Nebraska. More shake ups to come. What will Iowa's lineup look like come the tournament and how will it impact the podium race? Right now Intermat has Kennedy at 174 and Arnold nowhere to be found. That seems likely to evolve as the season evolves. I have the feeling Arnold will be a factor somewhere, and with Iowa currently sitting in sixth position without him, they kind of feel like a podium team with him. With apologies to @MPhillips, is it too early to talk about Ohio State's vaunted recruiting classes of 2019 and 2022? With two #1 ranked recruiting classes hitting at the same time I was a bit surprised to not see then among the top 10. Where for art thou? They came in at 11 on my list. Notes: I am only using Intermat rankings this year. Because reasons. My projected points are based on the average points a given seed typically scores. Rather than assume that the one seed will score 20, I look at actual historical outcomes to account for the fact that sometimes the #1 seed does not win. In this way you can think of it as a probabilistic statement about points. On average a #1 seed only scores about 16.9 points. A lot, but not 20. This also means that wrestlers outside the top 8 get credit for some number of projected points.
  14. I'm not on Twitter. Can you post the actual tweets, please?
  15. Sorry I missed this. As much as I enjoy Bardstown, I have to go with the Laphroaig here. Love that peat.
  16. He pinned Labriola. Come on, now you are doing a Jimmy Cinnabon tribute.
  17. For me it eliminates the worst result. Two escapes equals a takedown. I absolutely hated that. And that was far more common than what you are worried about.
  18. By that logic you should make takedowns worth zero so no one is afraid to try for one.
  19. It is interesting that you say that. I have heard a few PSU wrestlers say the coaching staff there builds around their individual goals.
  20. This just in. I read the wrong post on HR (blcoach80 is not his dad ao_coachpil is). His dad thinks he is too small for 184 and gave him a B- for his match yesterday. Changing my username to wrestlehashisheaduphisass
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