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Wrestleknownothing

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Everything posted by Wrestleknownothing

  1. Here are the probability of AAing by weight, by date, by service for Nebraska
  2. This points to a nit pick of mine. I know Flo likes to say their rankings are not ratings or predictions. But then they sometimes are. To me the most glaring example is their team tournament rankings. They come up with their scores by assuming their rankings are where each wrestler will finish thereby turning their ranking into a prediction. Minor point, but that is my especiality.
  3. Wrestlestat Pre-Season Top 20 Wrestlestat Current Top 20
  4. Reminder: I use Intermat, Flo, and Wrestlestat individual rankings. I treat the rankings like they are seeds. EP (expected points) are based on the average advancement and placement points scored by each seed from 2010 - 2022. Max Place & Adv assume each wrester wrestles to seed and takes the most optimal path (advances in the championship bracket as far as possible). Mean Place & Adv assumes each wrestler wrestles to seed but takes the average path for places that have multiple paths. Expected AA is the probability weighted number of All-Americans a team can expect. All sorts are based on EP. Intermat Pre-Season Top 20 Intermat Current Top 20 With Missouri, Cornell and Iowa State moving up it looks to be a three team battle for the last two podium slots. Meanwhile Arizona State, and Ohio State head in the other direction having dropped 12 and 14 points, respectively, from their expected totals. Both teams will look to reverse what has been a rough start to the season. At the top, there has been a modest tightening, but PSU still holds an expected 16.1 point lead over Iowa.
  5. I am not heading down this body shaming black hole.
  6. Congratulations. You have single handedly convinced me that Iowa fans are not very passionate fans of wrestling, what with the not very intense day in spite of the debut of Spencer Lee against the team whose coach called your coach an orange. From now on when I need some quiet time I will haed to Carver to watch you sit on your hands.
  7. Hang on a sec. You have season tix and you DON'T think Carver is the ultimate home mat advantage? My data tells me there is an 83% chance that the problem is in your mirror, semantics baby boy.
  8. I can only assume you have not attended a match at Carver. For reference material go to either BR or BWI and you can read up on "getting Carvered."
  9. That he is the backup for a reason, and as a backup wrestling a three time national champ who is also a two time Hodge winner wrestling with the ultimate home mat advantage, he did damn good.
  10. There are 5 visionaries on this board. Identify yourselves and take your victory laps. (Also so I know who not to sig bet against.)
  11. When I read the topic I thought you were exaggerating, but holy crap, its true.
  12. Flo had him #1 pre-season before Quincy Monday announced he was dropping down to 157, but then immediately dropped him to #2 after Monday announced. No one else (Intermat, Wrestlestat, WIN) has had him #1 at any point this season.
  13. What a dumb response to back up a dumb original post that was followed by an even dumber take.
  14. Then why didn't you? That was rhetorical. I already know the answer.
  15. My sentiments exactly. I am a former Flo subscriber who does not miss it.
  16. You absolutely should state your opinion as you are never a tool about it.
  17. At 11 I wanted Olympic gold. I don't remember prior to that. In 1972 when Mark Spitz took home 7 golds I was not swimming yet, though by the time I was swimming I certainly remembered the iconic poster. But watching Brian Goodell set the world record in the 1500 meter free in 1976 was what did it for me. I wanted to be Brian Goodell. I was not Brian Goodell.
  18. And if TNT does the ducking against ISU, does that make it Duck a l'Orange?
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