ugarles

all cornell guys obvs. but if i have to pick non-cornell guys who have a real shot i'd say mekhi, alirez and a repeat for o'connor because i think some consider him a fluke winner. i don't think anyone thinks of mekhi as a fluke, just someone who has had a rough injury history. idc about a title for these guys necessarily, but get phillippi and hendrickson on the podium. also have really enjoyed watching malyke hines as a rival.

i respect that mcgonagle was giving it his best effort to get ready but the way he was carried off at EIWA i didn't think there was any hope of an NCAA appearance

I am pretty sure this was the difference in the Ungar-Sotelo matchups this year. Sotelo won 1-0 at the Cornell-Harvard dual with a third period rideout but Ungar won 4-2 at EIWA with a quick second period reversal and a takedown in SV.

i can't look through everyone's paths but i don't hate the potential roads for Cardenas even though the guys you have to get through as a 10 are obviously all talented. iirc a rubber match with Beard is one of the likely opponents in the blood round (whether or not he gets through sloan).

won't know until the last minute probably - don't hold the spot. family stuff.

depends on whether you think max dean got carried by the refs on a palanquin to the finals last year i guess

that makes sense but at least i didn't imagine it

found it

Bucknell

congrats to him! i have nothing against him personally and i wonder if Miller hit someone on the committee with his car.

i think the refs should have to announce the score and the wrestler's name, and his mother's maiden name and social security number

on thursday evening i may make a last-minute request to see if there's an extra spot but i can't commit to the time right now. if there's space, great. if there isn't, good luck to everyone who picks cornell's guys.

that's who i was thinking of when i said that i hoped that mcgonagle didn't go if he couldn't go. nicky robbed someone of an opportunity (to get rolled by the 1 seed)

mcgonagle is going to get a high seed and he's apparently going to try to wrestle but if i'm the alternate at 133 i definitely keep my weight down for a couple of weeks

I think the only place he was underrated was his own workout room - and even that was more about considering whether or not to redshirt him or start the clock this year. One loss and wins over Gfeller and Kraisser, not to mention the guy starting ahead of him? The only way starting Daracott makes sense is if Koll was looking ahead to when he thought he'd have the best possible team and then ultimately deciding to just put his best guy out there. I'm going to put in a vote for the Cardenas from Cornell. He couldn't even crack WIN's top 20 until beating Beard at EIWA. I was one of the people underrating him. He didn't lose matches he should win but I didn't think he had a tough enough schedule to prove he could hang with the top 10 or was aggressive enough to pull off upsets. I also said that I thought he needed to expand his set of scoring moves beyond his incredible blast double but Beard couldn't defend it so what do I know.

Miller got jobbed so much worse than Oliveiri and Pucino. Pucino has an RPI so low he isn't even in the screenshot I shared. If you take out his D-II win and MFF loss, he's 13-10. He closed the season 0-3 at B1G and 1-6 overall, probably torching his RPI and CR in the process. That's the hill you want to die on? Olivieri is 12-7, and also closed the season 2-5 which blew up his RPI and probably CR the same as it did to Pucino. McKenzie Bell has a higher RPI than either of them, probably a higher CR (he's higher on Intermat) and is 24-7 with more quality wins than the B1G boosters gave him credit for. He MFF'd out of the MAC tournament, which probably gave him some slack on his tournament finish. He beat Darren Miller too, so that's probably how he got in over Miller. You can look at bad losses all you want but on the numbers that matter, there's no way Pucino or Olivieri are better candidates than Bell (or Miller - 20-8, multiple wins over AQs, higher RPI *and* Intermat ranking than everyone else we're talking about here). Cole Mattin is a worse pick than Bell (or Miller) too.

i thought i read that they changed it; i know that you are correct historically.

33 with a pigtail leading to one of the top 4 seeds iirc

probably helped if Bono wasn't arguing the call

read the formula and the criteria to figure out why your kid missed out. it's almost entirely objective. having a .550 season in the B1G and losing to all of the AQs you faced will fare worse than a hypothetical top seed in the MAC with a .710 record who lost in the final to the 2 seed but won the regular season matchup even if you think the 11th best guy in B1G would win H2H. Furman beat Stefanik. Berreyesa beat Eischens. The losing wrestlers are going to NCAAs and the winners aren't because of everything else that happened over the course of the season. The RPI on that chart appears to be pre-tournament; Olivieri is behind all of the guys on the current WrestleStat approximation. He probably got hammered in the latest CR as well (which WS doesn't have an update on AFAIK). With wins over 3 EIWA guys going to the tournament, a top 20 RPI and a .714 win%, Bucknell's Miller looks like he got jobbed more than the B1G snubs.

I think there is a difference between being engaged and sprawling defensively and preemptively backing away; the gray area is tough to call. The way the international rules force close grappling in neutral makes this easier to call imo.

i also thought that gomez lost his balance during the lift and it led to a very awkward, accidental landing for miller but i'm not sure anymore. didn't look great from the drewblogz tweet Vak posted. gomez got an at-large, though, so we'll see if the loss to Rooks was an abberation or the state of his current health.

they did not find my cases compelling. disappointed for Berreyesa and Furman. Also surprised that McGonagle got an at-large but I can't imagine he's able to use it. would be great if he's recovered but the way he was carried off the mat, it would be a pleasant surprise.

lol i remember that - Ramirez got tired of all the edge bs and walked backwards to the center of the mat and invited Casella to join him

my son looked at the Penn mat when I was showing him EIWA highlights and said it looks like a pokeball.