wrestlingest2010

Even if Hamiti's loss against Olejnik counted, he would still be seeded ahead of Mesenbrink. Both are undefeated in B1G duals and the tiebreaker goes to the returning champ. Not complicated. I think most PSU fans knew this would be how it would go.

He could have scored but points weren't assured. That's a case where you redshirt. Kueter checked a lot of boxes this year in half a season. He won't be able to maximize his potential if he's playing football in the Fall but pretty impressive he basically beat 2 NQs this year starting his season in January. He loses weight FAST in the wrestling room (pretty sure the LB coach for Iowa said he was planning to prioritize getting to 240 for football and he was right back down to 220 weigh in for his first match)

Absolutely. Candidly, in a case like Starocci where you can't tell how much an injury will affect him, just keep it simple, go with what the matrix says. Had he wrestled more matches, he would have a RPI. As great as Starocci is, he: 1. Wrestled only 12 matches this year 2. Missed a match against Shane Griffith 3. Will go 0-2 officially at conferences Thus his seeding matrix gets napalmed

AJ by default has 3 more years after this year. The fact Glazier returned to Iowa leads me to think he is confident AJ isn't wrestling for Iowa going forward. Even if AJ considers himself done with wrestling, he can literally be a ringer for hire until 2027, enroll in an online graduate certificate and wrestle the postseason for a few hundred K if a team needs points. With how much older and stronger he is, he can half ass his way into a Top 3 finish going forward probably.

Pretty sure Gomez didn't join Michigan to skip the postseason lol

I think the fact Glazier skipped senior day festives means he is pretty sure Brands is done with the older Ferrari experiment. The fact AJ is spending more time in MMA and getting into trouble still is probably a good indicator of that as well. Next year, that weight class clears out and Glazier will be one of the top guys.

I expect him to step on the mat twice at Big Tens and default out and wrestle at NCAAs. The defaults 100% still count as "wrestling" but they're more punitive now since you need to do it twice. For someone with only 12 matches, Starocci's seed could tank as low as 6.

I'd be floored barring a total early bracket implosion if Glazier went 0-2 (like he has to face a Top 8 seed immediately in wrestlebacks after he himself loses). I expect him to be wrestling in the blood round. I'm not ruling out he can beat the Sloan, Beard, Elam types either, we just don't have a data point to say it for sure right now but who knows? He did better than Brooks than anyone expected but I'm not huge on extrapolating from "close losses" Majoring Allred was indeed a good win though.

Very good but in a deep weight class (crazy but 197 is that now) Love his style overall, clean shots and finishes. Jaxon Smith is probably the gatekeeper type for him to see whether he is an AA or R12-R16 level. Regardless though, he made jumps this year and is for real.

I see this kind of post basically every year, since not everyone looks their best all year. History shows Cael has peaking down to a science rather than it's some continued act of God.

Extrapolating a tournament off a dual, tale as old as time

Every year there are these discussions but history says PSU doesn't underachieve like that at NCAAs generally.

Agree - Olympic Redshirt should only be reserved for those who qualified for OTT. If you try and fail, you lose the year. Tough but it's such a bad loophole in eligibility. A Cadet Medal should not get you an automatic redshirt junior year of college. It's especially bad in AJ's case since he's not wrestling because he acted like an idiot. Facundo (who is eligible through a Cadet Medal) would have earned it as he just qualified for OTT by Senior Nationals.

Bernie's best skillset is easily his annoying split defense. Almost upset Myles Amine with it.

If PSU gets Kerkvliet back (he originally said he was coming back) that alone should be enough to make them the favorites next year. Line Up: 125 - Lilledahl/Davis (one RS) - contender at 125 133 - Nagao - will be Top 2 likely with Vito/Fix moving on 141 - Bartlett (said he's returning) - will be Top 2 (depending on what Alirez wants to do) 149 - SVN (Kasak RS) - depending on how he rounds into form (will take some time) should be the guy to beat (on par with Henson/Parco at least) 157 - Haines/Mesenbrink (depending on how big either get) - contender to favorite 165 - Haines/Mesenbrink - contender to favorite 174 - Facundo/Ryder - think Facundo will contend for AA in that class, Ryder seems to be built in the "impossible to take down, limited offense" mold (not unlike Gabe Arnold) 184 - Barr - TBD but he beat a Top 15 opponent his first month in the room and guys like him tend to be ready to be a stud 197 - ??? The class clears out, would be ideal to get points here for them whether it's getting Mirasola up to folk speed fast or transfer 285 - Kerkvliet - favorite I have a sneaking suspicion Starocci and Kerkvliet will both be back. Getting paid a huge sum of money to just wrestle another year is better than anything they can make elsewhere. I think Cael wins more than 4 in a row this time.

Keegan is coming back and going 174. Ben has said several times the main reason he isn't there already is because it would kick Peyton Mocco (his best friend) out of the lineup.

AJ calling someone a feminine version of their name in a deragatory manner will not help his case with a female AD/President lol

AJ claimed some people thought he was another race (guess maybe hispanic since he's pretty tan) and called him slurs according to that. I would say there is a 99% chance it's just an outright lie.

I would favor Kaylor as well, 6th year senior and former AA with a W over Ayala this year but similar to you, would not be shocked if Davis won.

125 is without a doubt the most interesting one. Davis has looked very good for a true freshman, bonusing everyone he has wrestled except the 2 NQ level guys, which is better than I expected especially since he wasn't considering some can't miss prospect coming in (in the 40s on Willie's big board I believe) This will be his first major test. 125 is open and him beating Kaylor would throw him into the conversation to be on the podium as well.

Anthony announced in March 100%. AJ also announced he was coming back. The hearings weren't complete but obviously they were planning for them to be available best case scenario.

The Ferraris basically committed in March of last year (Anthony was the only official one but everyone knew they were a package), the gambling investigation was opened after that before any of the wrestlers knew they were in trouble.

I don't think Iowa wrestling would crash and burn unless there is a mass exodus due to the Ferraris. That being said, Iowa wrestling could "crash and burn" and recover very fast, they have money for transfers and recruits are always interested in going there so they could restack their roster very fast. There's only so low Iowa wrestling can sink to be honest.

I don't think the mere presence of the Ferraris is going to cause any Iowa wrestler to transfer. They practice with them, go to duals/tournaments with them then don't need to be their friends off the mat, they can handle that. Chittum was a special case since he had a previous history with Anthony Ferrari at Blair. That being said, if they act up in the room, try to play by their own rules (like when AJ chose to go to Vegas for UFC instead of Big 12s just because he wasn't wrestling) and Brands continues to excuse the behavior due to them being good wrestlers then I can see some leaving because you're showing these outsiders on their 5th chance are bigger than the team. I don't see Brands letting it get to that.

If AJ doesn't win Big Tens he is going to drop a bit in the seeding since I doubt he'll have enough matches to get a RPI, won't have H2H with any of the other top 197s.