Wrestleknownothing

Amen

Cassioppi just wrestled at 97kg at the US Open. He would be a pretty small heavy.

Not exactly. The Pan Am Qualifier is a week later. This is the Pan Am Championship. A country can only go to the qualifier if they also send someone to the championship. I am not sure why that is the case given that they are one week apart.

I think those two sentences contradict each other.

Before last week I would have pooh poohed the inclusion of Little Rock on that list, but after Friday I heard they are renaming the school Big Rocks.

Well, you have my attention. Is this like a Spartacus thing?

I have heard of golf and softball with the ball emitting sound for location.

I started posting on themat in 2019, I think. He was gone by then. I have seen some pale imitations, including as recently as about a minute ago.

Wrestlestat has RPIs for 80 wrestlers per weight based on a 5 match min. You can build team numbers from there.

KMF was before my time, but I understand he was highly entertaining.

Yeah, he redshirted in 22, went 8-11 in 23, and is listed at 0-0 this year. @FanOfPurdueWrestling any insight on the Copass situation?

Yep, before the season began PSU said they would have a light schedule first semester to allow anyone who wanted to prepare for the US Open and Olympic Trials qualifying to do so. We can bellyache about it all we want, but one of the things that attracts top athletes is the freedom to pursue their individual goals (including internationally). That even extends to practices. If you listen to Bartlett's media day from last week, they ask him what a typical practice is like and he says something along the lines of it's different for everyone because its based on what you need. When Snyder did it he was Captain America. When a team has a bunch of guys who aspire to be Captain America we claim it doesn't grow the sport. When guys win Olympic medals during college we say it separates them from just college champs. When a bunch of people go for it we whine.

I always say, if we didn't have him we would need to invent him.

I checked on Copass and couldn't find him on the roster per wrestlestat. Not sure if he is injured or what, but Ruhlman has wrestled all the duals this season.

That would be the probability of those seven, yes.

It comes to 5.04. So over simplifying a bit that is like saying a 96% chance of 5 and a 4% chance of 6, and a 0% chance of 7. Or you could ascribe some non-zero, but still very small probability of 7, and that would shrink the probability of 6. But, you are not wrong about that probably understates the true probability of 7. I am looking at historical data. There is no history, until there is. Stuff without precedence always happens before there is precedence.

You do read that correctly. But if the question is how many champs, then at or better for 2-4 seeds doesn't exactly address it. But this does. They have had 57 top 4 seeds since 2011, of those 32 have won it all (56%). So, 9 top 4 seeds would suggest 5 champs. Still a lot.

This whole thing gets me thinking about the value of Zach Glazier. He did Iowa wrestling an enormous favor by providing the clearest possible demonstration of what they were about to take on before they had to take it fully on. Zach Glazier has to be Iowa's Most Valuable Wrestler.

Using the above probabilities it comes out to 4-ish champions. Seven would be a big outlier, even for PSU.

Yes, that is the PSU bump. They tend to perform closer to their seed than others. During the Cael Sanderson era it looks like this on a seed vs average finish basis: And the PSU specific distribution looks like this:

Indeed, 7 would be shocking, even after applying the PSU bump. Without the PSU bump the total looks like 2 - 3 this year. Maybe 3 - 4 with the bump. For perspective a #1 seed historically wins just over half the time (52.3%).

Yes. Nagao - 3 Bartlett - 3 Shayne Van Ness - 2 Levi Haines - 1 Carter Starocci - 1 Bernie Truax - 2 Aaron Brooks - 1 Greg Kerkvliet - 1