wrestlingest2010

Even if Hamiti's loss against Olejnik counted, he would still be seeded ahead of Mesenbrink. Both are undefeated in B1G duals and the tiebreaker goes to the returning champ. Not complicated. I think most PSU fans knew this would be how it would go.

He could have scored but points weren't assured. That's a case where you redshirt. Kueter checked a lot of boxes this year in half a season. He won't be able to maximize his potential if he's playing football in the Fall but pretty impressive he basically beat 2 NQs this year starting his season in January. He loses weight FAST in the wrestling room (pretty sure the LB coach for Iowa said he was planning to prioritize getting to 240 for football and he was right back down to 220 weigh in for his first match)

Absolutely. Candidly, in a case like Starocci where you can't tell how much an injury will affect him, just keep it simple, go with what the matrix says. Had he wrestled more matches, he would have a RPI. As great as Starocci is, he: 1. Wrestled only 12 matches this year 2. Missed a match against Shane Griffith 3. Will go 0-2 officially at conferences Thus his seeding matrix gets napalmed

AJ by default has 3 more years after this year. The fact Glazier returned to Iowa leads me to think he is confident AJ isn't wrestling for Iowa going forward. Even if AJ considers himself done with wrestling, he can literally be a ringer for hire until 2027, enroll in an online graduate certificate and wrestle the postseason for a few hundred K if a team needs points. With how much older and stronger he is, he can half ass his way into a Top 3 finish going forward probably.

Pretty sure Gomez didn't join Michigan to skip the postseason lol

I think the fact Glazier skipped senior day festives means he is pretty sure Brands is done with the older Ferrari experiment. The fact AJ is spending more time in MMA and getting into trouble still is probably a good indicator of that as well. Next year, that weight class clears out and Glazier will be one of the top guys.

I expect him to step on the mat twice at Big Tens and default out and wrestle at NCAAs. The defaults 100% still count as "wrestling" but they're more punitive now since you need to do it twice. For someone with only 12 matches, Starocci's seed could tank as low as 6.

I'd be floored barring a total early bracket implosion if Glazier went 0-2 (like he has to face a Top 8 seed immediately in wrestlebacks after he himself loses). I expect him to be wrestling in the blood round. I'm not ruling out he can beat the Sloan, Beard, Elam types either, we just don't have a data point to say it for sure right now but who knows? He did better than Brooks than anyone expected but I'm not huge on extrapolating from "close losses" Majoring Allred was indeed a good win though.

Very good but in a deep weight class (crazy but 197 is that now) Love his style overall, clean shots and finishes. Jaxon Smith is probably the gatekeeper type for him to see whether he is an AA or R12-R16 level. Regardless though, he made jumps this year and is for real.

I see this kind of post basically every year, since not everyone looks their best all year. History shows Cael has peaking down to a science rather than it's some continued act of God.

Extrapolating a tournament off a dual, tale as old as time

Every year there are these discussions but history says PSU doesn't underachieve like that at NCAAs generally.

Agree - Olympic Redshirt should only be reserved for those who qualified for OTT. If you try and fail, you lose the year. Tough but it's such a bad loophole in eligibility. A Cadet Medal should not get you an automatic redshirt junior year of college. It's especially bad in AJ's case since he's not wrestling because he acted like an idiot. Facundo (who is eligible through a Cadet Medal) would have earned it as he just qualified for OTT by Senior Nationals.

Bernie's best skillset is easily his annoying split defense. Almost upset Myles Amine with it.

If PSU gets Kerkvliet back (he originally said he was coming back) that alone should be enough to make them the favorites next year. Line Up: 125 - Lilledahl/Davis (one RS) - contender at 125 133 - Nagao - will be Top 2 likely with Vito/Fix moving on 141 - Bartlett (said he's returning) - will be Top 2 (depending on what Alirez wants to do) 149 - SVN (Kasak RS) - depending on how he rounds into form (will take some time) should be the guy to beat (on par with Henson/Parco at least) 157 - Haines/Mesenbrink (depending on how big either get) - contender to favorite 165 - Haines/Mesenbrink - contender to favorite 174 - Facundo/Ryder - think Facundo will contend for AA in that class, Ryder seems to be built in the "impossible to take down, limited offense" mold (not unlike Gabe Arnold) 184 - Barr - TBD but he beat a Top 15 opponent his first month in the room and guys like him tend to be ready to be a stud 197 - ??? The class clears out, would be ideal to get points here for them whether it's getting Mirasola up to folk speed fast or transfer 285 - Kerkvliet - favorite I have a sneaking suspicion Starocci and Kerkvliet will both be back. Getting paid a huge sum of money to just wrestle another year is better than anything they can make elsewhere. I think Cael wins more than 4 in a row this time.