Wrestleknownothing

I was worried someone might ask that, but I can't remember. I even went through old emails to see if I could find it. Nothing.

UW Fieldhouse in Madison. Very good old school venue. U of I Huff Hall. Very poor old school venue. This has to make recruiting difficult. NU Welsh-Ryan Arena. I wound up buying enough tickets that is was easier buying a group package than individual tickets even though there was nearly twice as many in the group package as what I needed. This prompted someone from the athletic department to reach out to me. They assumed I was bringing a team. Who was I to correct them. They asked if I wanted my team name up on the video screen. Sure. So I made up a name that was really a coded message to one of the participating wrestlers. We watched the entire match and our "team name" never came up. Someone must have figured it out. The next day the athletic department reached out to make sure we had a good time. I told them we did, but were a little sad to not see our name on the board. As a way to make it up to my "team" they offered to send NU merchandise to my kids, all they needed were sizes. Having taken this way too far, I politely declined the offer. That was 5 years ago (?). I still get emails from them. Iowa Carver Hawkeye. The noise the home crowd made when they thought their man had secured a last second takedown actually made me dizzy. Never experienced anything like that before.

Those look like knock offs. I was thinking more like this: Interestingly, I went to the Iowa Style website and was unable to find this line.

I am one who could care less why Lee decided to MFF. He owes me nothing. But I can also understand anyone who bought one of his "excuses are for wusses" SL branded items of apparel might feel owed an explanation.

35 for Spencer.

The last four years it has been 8, 6, 8, and 10. And in 2020 there were even three non-finalists who garnered votes, so eleven wrestlers received votes that year. Not looking good for 4 to 5 anymore.

That is a bad look.

True, but there has also never been a two lose finalist, and Brooks polled below him. I find that surprising.

Not nearly long enough.

No surprise that Mason Parris was number 1 in both the fan vote and the committee vote, but I am very surprised that Aaron Brooks was last in the fan vote and got zero committee votes.

Was this the first year the fan vote was worth 5 votes?

I am only copying the top 30 for display purposes, but I have anyone who has scored at least 59 total points based on current scoring methods (226 total). New entrants to the list this year were Austin O'Connor (60.5), Carter Starocci (67), Aaron Brooks (68), and Roman Bravo-Young (68).

Here are the top 30 by per match average. You can see how low those early match counts were (only three tournaments and small brackets).

Everything is scored using today's rules for scoring. The early guys are disadvantaged by having very small brackets causing them to lose out on advancement points. That is why I have a per match calc. When you sort by that it brings all the 1930's to 1950's guys to the top.

And because I like bonus points:

Then joke's on Truax. I heard PSU is in the portal. Likely destination? Iowa.

I said good day, sir.

What I will look like after AOC hears what I said about his failure to wrestle above seed?

Why does it feel like this isn't really about Nato?

The metric I use is to sum the empirical results by seed from 2010 - 2023 and use that to come up with a percentage expectation that a given seed will AA. For example, during that time period only 49% of #8 seeds achieved AA status, while 36% of #9 seeds did as well. So counting an 8 seed as an AA and a 9 seed as not ignores this reality. Even a 1 seed is not a sure thing (but close at 98.5%). The probabilities I use look like this: As for OkSt and UNC, I saw it like this: In both instances it was not about predicting a single wrestler to make it, but between two wrestlers with a roughly one-third shot of making AA you would expect a decent shot of at least one of them achieving it.

Pin or get pinned. Marinelli and Joseph were also always looking for the big throw whenever they matched up. Que es mas macho? I love it.

Pin? Fall? Pinfall. One term to rule them all.

Another way to think about performance is performance vs expectations. We do this all the time. It is what makes us feel good about a 33 seed making a run to the quarter or semi finals. Using my AA probability metric (% of times a given seed achieves AA between 2010 and 2022) we can look at what the pre-tournament expectations were versus what actually happened. The good news is that no one massively under-performed. The biggest miss was by one. But this also smooths over high-end upsets as long as the upset still AAs.

I have finalists in quotation marks because in the early years they did not always list who was a finalist, just who won.