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Most Busted Bracket


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We were all predicting that 125 this year would be bedlam. And it was.

Depending on which service you follow, there were 6 or 7 different #1's throughout the season. And the #1 seed, Braeden Davis, failed to AA. That has only happened five other times in the last 20 years. And it has only happened one other time since seeding was expanded to 16 in 2014.

By almost any measure the bracket was pretty well busted. Four of the wrestlers seeded in the top 8 failed to AA (#1, #4, #6, #7). And the sum of the seeds that did AA was 78 (2+3+5+8+10+12+15+23).

But that only makes it the fourth most busted bracket since 2014:

image.png.18c79fa8646a5f92f303d3de0a627880.png

For this I went conservative and used 17 as a plug number for the unseeded.

Unsurprisingly, 2021 with all of its weirdness was the most busted year. 

image.png.595c1689427064e4eb28c08b59d8207f.png

edit: fixed year table

 

Edited by Wrestleknownothing
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16 minutes ago, Wrestleknownothing said:

We were all predicting that 125 this year would be bedlam. And it was.

Depending on which service you follow, there were 6 or 7 different #1's throughout the season. And the #1 seed, Braeden Davis, failed to AA. That has only happened five other times in the last 20 years. And it has only happened one other time since seeding was expanded to 16 in 2014.

By almost any measure the bracket was pretty well busted. Four of the wrestlers seeded in the top 8 failed to AA (#1, #4, #6, #7). And the sum of the seeds that did AA was 78 (2+3+5+8+10+12+15+23).

But that only makes it the fourth most busted bracket since 2014:

image.png.18c79fa8646a5f92f303d3de0a627880.png

For this I went conservative and used 17 as a plug number for the unseeded.

Unsurprisingly, 2021 with all of its weirdness was the most busted year. 

image.png.595c1689427064e4eb28c08b59d8207f.png

edit: fixed year table

 

That is wild that even with giving out the unseeded values at 17 that 2016 is the highest.  Looking at that bracket again, and it is bonkers.

https://i.turner.ncaa.com/sites/default/files/external/gametool/brackets/final-brackets-wrestling-2016.pdf

  • Brain 1

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Good stuff.

Although 2023 125 was really just because the 27 & 28 seeds wrestled for 7th place.  The rest of the AA’s were 2, 4, 10 (previous finalist), 8, 3, 1.

When did they start seeding all 33 again?

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2 hours ago, 1032004 said:

Good stuff.

Although 2023 125 was really just because the 27 & 28 seeds wrestled for 7th place.  The rest of the AA’s were 2, 4, 10 (previous finalist), 8, 3, 1.

When did they start seeding all 33 again?

2019

Drowning in data, but thirsting for knowledge

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13 minutes ago, Wrestleknownothing said:

2019

I would be interested in seeing comparable data.

Meaning for 2019-2024 seeds 17+ all get valued as 17 as well.

"I know actually nothing.  It isn't even conjecture at this point." - me

 

 

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56 minutes ago, nhs67 said:

I would be interested in seeing comparable data.

Meaning for 2019-2024 seeds 17+ all get valued as 17 as well.

All the brackets 60 and over using your method.

image.png.96a10dd849a43f9d3f206fe3671aa552.png

 

And by year, 2021 loses the title:

image.png.437d511f3cb2edb1caa3b605385327a8.png

 

 

  • Fire 1

Drowning in data, but thirsting for knowledge

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