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Tight team race


jajensen09

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2 minutes ago, Pinnacle said:

The only thing missing from recent threads is the actual prediction of a team other than PSU winning the NCAA championship.

Someone is going to make the call. But who will it be?

Its already been explained.

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5 minutes ago, Pinnacle said:

The only thing missing from recent threads is the actual prediction of a team other than PSU winning the NCAA championship.

Someone is going to make the call. But who will it be?

Nebraska takes it all on the strength of title runs by hardy and pinto!

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"Half measures are a coward's form of insanity."

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5 hours ago, BloodRound said:

Does Penn State lose it once again?

They should still win it but if Carter doesn't score things could get interesting 

Edited by Corby
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12 hours ago, wrestlingest2010 said:

Every year there are these discussions but history says PSU doesn't underachieve like that at NCAAs generally. 

Yeah but there hasn't been an injury like this  for a while and they did look beatable against nebraska 

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23 hours ago, jajensen09 said:

Now this is not my prediction! But this could happen. There is a reason we wrestle and not just hand the crown over before it happens.

125 -Davis No AA

133 Nago No AA

141 beau 7th

149 No AA

157 Shiperio beats Levi in quarters. Levi AA

165 Mitchell AA

174 Starocci injury is pretty bad (hope this isn't case)

184 low AA 7th

197 highly unlikely Brooks takes an L champ here

Heavyweight Batistida or Schultz beats Kirk. Kirk 3rd.

This would tighten up the race. Not likely, but these things could happen....

The scenario you outlined is basically worst case for PSU.  Even in this scenario, they score between 90 and 100 points.  

The only team that can conceivably beat that is Cornell, and to do so they absolutely must have 2 champs (not unlikely), but they're also going to need AA finishes from at least 2 of Ungar, Cornella, Fernandez, or Fernandes.  

So sure, the margin of error without Starocci is smaller, but it's still significant and larger than it's been in years' past (when PSU always outperformed their expected point totals anyway).  

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34 minutes ago, steamboat_charlie said:

The scenario you outlined is basically worst case for PSU.  Even in this scenario, they score between 90 and 100 points.  

The only team that can conceivably beat that is Cornell, and to do so they absolutely must have 2 champs (not unlikely), but they're also going to need AA finishes from at least 2 of Ungar, Cornella, Fernandez, or Fernandes.  

So sure, the margin of error without Starocci is smaller, but it's still significant and larger than it's been in years' past (when PSU always outperformed their expected point totals anyway).  

Nebraska has a much better chance than cornell... 

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54 minutes ago, steamboat_charlie said:

The scenario you outlined is basically worst case for PSU.  Even in this scenario, they score between 90 and 100 points.  

The only team that can conceivably beat that is Cornell, and to do so they absolutely must have 2 champs (not unlikely), but they're also going to need AA finishes from at least 2 of Ungar, Cornella, Fernandez, or Fernandes.  

So sure, the margin of error without Starocci is smaller, but it's still significant and larger than it's been in years' past (when PSU always outperformed their expected point totals anyway).  

At one point of the year you could say PSU had a high high probability at 4 champs. Now I'd say the over under is 1.5.

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43 minutes ago, jajensen09 said:

At one point of the year you could say PSU had a high high probability at 4 champs. Now I'd say the over under is 1.5.

Over ... and whats the limit, can I bet the farm?  

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6 minutes ago, steamboat_charlie said:

Nebraska?  Zero chance.  They'll be lucky to get 1 champ, and 1 champ is not going to cut it.  

The University of Minnesota would like a word.  

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1 hour ago, jajensen09 said:

At one point of the year you could say PSU had a high high probability at 4 champs. Now I'd say the over under is 1.5.

These are terrible odds.  PSU has 5 guys ranked #1.  Lets say Starocci has to forfeit out you'd still set the over under at 2.5

I Don't Agree With What I Posted

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