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It's time: Predict the 2024 125 pound NCAA champ


peanut

It's time: Pick the 2024 125 pound NCAA champ   

76 members have voted

  1. 1. Who will be the 2024 125 pound NCAA champ?

    • Ramos (14-3)
      12
    • Noto (10-1)
      5
    • Barnett (14-2)
      3
    • Ungar (10-3)
      0
    • Peterson (7-1)
      0
    • Poulin (7-1)
      2
    • McKee (8-2)
      3
    • DeAugustino (5-1)
      1
    • Kaylor (8-5)
      1
    • Smith (14-3)
      0
    • Volk (12-4)
      1
    • Provo (10-3)
      1
    • Ayala (10-1)
      17
    • Flynn (8-2)
      1
    • Palmer (7-1)
      2
    • Maida (10-0)
      0
    • Surtin (10-1)
      3
    • Davis (9-0)
      10
    • Diakomihalis (11-3)
      1
    • Other
      13

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  • Poll closed on 01/19/2024 at 05:00 PM

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7 minutes ago, FanOfPurdueWrestling said:

There are plenty of non D1 kids and programs that churn out talent. Shawn Streck for example would be a top heavy in D1. 

I’d like to see a few knowledgeable guys from D3 frequent this forum to share some of the stand-outs in their world. 

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11 minutes ago, Rassling said:

I’d like to see a few knowledgeable guys from D3 frequent this forum to share some of the stand-outs in their world. 

I’ve actually thought is starting a thread to see if anyone follows the other divisions, even if just at a high level. 
 

There are clearly levels particularly with only 80 D1/Transitioning programs, but some kids come alive in college and a good D2 program could develop. 

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2 minutes ago, FanOfPurdueWrestling said:

I’ve actually thought is starting a thread to see if anyone follows the other divisions, even if just at a high level. 
 

There are clearly levels particularly with only 80 D1/Transitioning programs, but some kids come alive in college and a good D2 program could develop. 

That would be a great Fan - seeing some videos of their studs would be great. Go ahead start a thread some day and let’s see if it attracts some new blood. 

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Just now, Rassling said:

That would be a great Fan - seeing some videos of their studs would be great. Go ahead start a thread some day and let’s see if it attracts some new blood. 

Another Non-D1 guy that was suppose to be a college D1 stud was Blake Rypel, NAIA 7th after being a 2 time indiana state champ and indiana wrestler of the year. Started at IU and finished at LifeU. 
 

plenty of drop downs as well as hidden gems. Shit I was D1 and lost to D2,D3, Naia and even a club kid- I was a career backup but there is talent there and I will always be a supporter of non-D1 wrestling even if I’m not the most knowledgeable or biggest fan/follower.

 

they all still do the sport we love(ed) and have their own goals and aspiration inside and outside of sport.

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8 minutes ago, FanOfPurdueWrestling said:

Another Non-D1 guy that was suppose to be a college D1 stud was Blake Rypel, NAIA 7th after being a 2 time indiana state champ and indiana wrestler of the year. Started at IU and finished at LifeU. 
 

plenty of drop downs as well as hidden gems. Shit I was D1 and lost to D2,D3, Naia and even a club kid- I was a career backup but there is talent there and I will always be a supporter of non-D1 wrestling even if I’m not the most knowledgeable or biggest fan/follower.

 

they all still do the sport we love(ed) and have their own goals and aspiration inside and outside of sport.

FanofPurdueWrestling <—now heres a PASSIONATE man about the worlds greatest sport! Perhaps Shane Sparks could get you a position with Big10! You have my vote!

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4 hours ago, jmoney said:

Barnett and McKee just haven’t wrestled well in tough matches this season. They do have some nice peak wins I gave them credit for. 

Sorry, your rating system doesn’t make any sense if McKee and Barnett are so far behind Flynn, who has a similar resume to them and only has 2 wins over other guys on your list.  

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9 minutes ago, 1032004 said:

Sorry, your rating system doesn’t make any sense if McKee and Barnett are so far behind Flynn, who has a similar resume to them and only has 2 wins over other guys on your list.  

Flynn has defeated Surtin, Provo, Ungar, Sotelo, Moore and lost to Barnett by 1 and Stanich by 2

Barnett has defeated Flynn, Smith, McCrone, Hendricsen and lost to Terukina, Stanich, Ramos and McKee. It's not apples to apples but I'll take Flynn's resume.

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2 hours ago, jmoney said:

Flynn has defeated Surtin, Provo, Ungar, Sotelo, Moore and lost to Barnett by 1 and Stanich by 2

Barnett has defeated Flynn, Smith, McCrone, Hendricsen and lost to Terukina, Stanich, Ramos and McKee. It's not apples to apples but I'll take Flynn's resume.

Flynn may deserve to be a couple spots higher, but not 2 tiers and over 100 points or whatever.

If you’re counting Ungar, Sotelo and Moore as quality wins for Flynn then you should probably give Barnett some credit for beating a slew of mid tier guys like Blake West (tech), Tyler Klinsky (major), Dom Mendez (tech), and Tristan Lujan

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On 2/17/2024 at 12:07 PM, jmoney said:

I created my own rankings using these metrics today. I am curious to see how well this predicts All Americans.

30% weight on GRIT (performance in top level matches)

20% weight on Best Win Quality against ranked guys

15% weight on Recent Performances last month

13% weight on Hammer rating (how much you destroy opposition measured taking into account strength of your opposition)

12% weight on Consistency (how your win% pairs up with your strength of schedule)

10% weight on Strength of Schedule

 

This gives me 3 tiers of guys

A TIER

1 Ramos 387, 2 Ayala 385, 3 Spratley 357, 4 Stanich 345

B TIER

5 Flynn 311, 6 Davis 297, 7 Smith 285

C TIER

8 DeAugustino 267, 9 Poulin 260, 10 Provo252, 11(TIE)  Jordan/Surtin 250, 13 Kaylor 244, 14 Noto 242, 15 Volk 240

D TIER

16 McKee 206, 17 Barnett 202, 18 Camacho 195

New top 10

1 Ramos

2 Ayala

3 Spratley

4 Stanich

5 Smith

6 Flynn

7 Kaylor

8 Surtin

9 DeAugustino

10 Davis

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14 hours ago, lu_alum said:

That explains why you've dropped Stanich so much for the loss to Jax Forrest.

I just want to circle back to this comment to give a more thorough explanation.  The loss to Forrest counts against him for sure, but more than that- is the lack of matches against D1 starters (which seems to have been by design to preserve his redshirt).  But it just means he has had fewer opportunities to face top rated d1 starters than many of his untethered peers

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1 hour ago, jmoney said:

New top 10

1 Ramos

2 Ayala

3 Spratley

4 Stanich

5 Smith

6 Flynn

7 Kaylor

8 Surtin

9 DeAugustino

10 Davis

DeAugustino should not be allowed in the top 10 until he shaves, he got beat by a 13 yr old for Pete's sake.  🤨

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Will the 13-year old will AA at this point? Looks like we're seeing him regress to his mean, not just with the losses but with the WBQCs (wins by questionable calls) also. He's a good wrestler and has good mat awareness but doesn't have the firepower as a TF. Smith just horsed him around yesterday with good old fashioned grown man strength.

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25 minutes ago, CHROMEBIRD said:

Will the 13-year old will AA at this point? Looks like we're seeing him regress to his mean, not just with the losses but with the WBQCs (wins by questionable calls) also. He's a good wrestler and has good mat awareness but doesn't have the firepower as a TF. Smith just horsed him around yesterday with good old fashioned grown man strength.

Wasn’t that a 1-1 match until there was about a minute left?  Davis certainly fits in with the rest of 125.  He can win it all, he can also go 0-2.

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FC Rank Wrestler School Conference InterMat FloSports WIN WrestleStat Coach RPI Net Rank
1 Eric Barnett Wisconsin Big Ten 6 4 11 4 3 12 4
2 Matt Ramos Purdue Big Ten 1 1 1 1 1 2 1
3 Troy Spratley Oklahoma State Big 12 12 8 5 7 9 8 7
4 Jore Volk Wyoming Big 12 11 15 15 16 11 9 13
5 Caleb Smith Nebraska Big Ten 7 5 7 6 10 7 5
6 Noah Surtin Missouri Big 12 10 9 6 9 7 5 6
7 Drake Ayala Iowa Big Ten 4 3 2 8 4 3 2
8 Nico Provo Stanford PAC 12 18 20 16 21 16 16 19
9 Cooper Flynn Virginia Tech ACC 3 7 3 11 5 4 3
10 Brett Ungar Cornell EIWA 15 17 19 20 15 13 16
11 Tanner Jordan South Dakota State Big 12 19 14 13 25 14 15 17
12 Michael DeAugustino Northwestern Big Ten 16 11 12 12 13 6 12
13 Brendan McCrone Ohio State Big Ten 22 18 51 17 19 37 23
14 Braeden Davis Penn State Big Ten 8 6 9 15 6 10 8
15 Patrick McKee Minnesota Big Ten 5 10 10 2 12 18 9
16 Luke Stanich Lehigh EIWA 2 2 51 3 2 1 10
17 Jakob Camacho North Carolina State ACC 14 16 17 13 23 20 18
18 Anthony Molton Campbell SoCon 23 29 51 14 20 22 22
19 Brandon Kaylor Oregon State PAC 12 17 12 14 18 17 11 15
20 Anthony Noto Lock Haven MAC 13 21 8 5 18 21 14
21 Stevo Poulin Northern Colorado Big 12 9 13 4 10 8 19 11
22 Jack Maida American EIWA 28 30 51 26 28 17 26
23 Trever Anderson Northern Iowa Big 12 26 23 51 19 25 35 25
24 Dean Peterson Rutgers Big Ten 20 19 18 24 21 33 20
25 Jett Strickenberger West Virginia Big 12 57 22 51 28 31 24 32
26 Blake West Northern Illinois MAC 33 57 51 37 32 30 34
27 Ethan Berginc Army EIWA 31 33 51 29 30 23 28
28 Kysen Terukina Iowa State Big 12 27 24 51 31 26 28 27
29 Drew West Gardner-Webb SoCon 57 57 51 43 57 47 45
30 Dominic Mendez Cal Poly PAC 12 30 31 51 38 57 33 33
31 Spencer Moore North Carolina ACC 29 27 51 36 33 27 29
32 Diego Sotelo Harvard EIWA 21 26 51 22 22 14 21
33 Brayden Palmer Chattanooga SoCon 25 57 51 23 29 26 31
34 Sean Spidle Central Michigan MAC 57 57 51 41 57 38 42
35 Eli Griffin California Baptist Big 12 32 32 51 35 24 31 30
36 Jeremiah Reno Little Rock PAC 12 57 57 51 39 57 49 44
37 Conrad Hendriksen Oklahoma Big 12 57 57 51 40 57 29 36
38 Max Gallagher Pennsylvania EIWA 57 57 51 27 57 25 35
39 Nick Babin Columbia EIWA 57 57 51 33 57 36 37
40 Justin Cardani Illinois Big Ten 57 57 51 52 57 46 51
41 Tucker Owens Air Force Big 12 57 57 51 48 57 43 47
42 Kyle Montaperto Virginia ACC 57 57 51 53 57 54 54
43 Jake Ice Sacred Heart EIWA 57 57 51 60 57 65 62
44 Tristan Lujan Michigan State Big Ten 57 57 51 44 57 32 40
45 Chad Bellis Appalachian State SoCon 57 57 51 34 57 42 41
46 Kade Davidheiser Bucknell EIWA 57 57 51 77 57 77 78
47 Richie Figueroa Arizona State PAC 12 24 25 20 30 27 39 24
48 Ryan Henningson North Dakota State Big 12 57 57 51 65 57 64 64
49 Yusief Lillie Utah Valley Big 12 57 57 51 67 57 59 63
50 Joey Fischer Clarion MAC 57 57 51 42 57 53 48
51 Tyler Klinsky Rider MAC 57 57 51 32 57 40 39
52 Michael Joyce Brown EIWA 57 57 51 55 57 58 56
53 Richard Castro-Sandoval Cal State Bakersfield PAC 12 57 57 51 46 57 45 46
54 Benjamin Aranda Cleveland State MAC 57 57 51 57 57 51 55
55 Drew Heethuis Princeton EIWA 57 57 51 49 57 48 49
56 Colton Camacho Pittsburgh ACC 57 29 51 47 57 51 38
57 Davian Guanajuato Southern Illinois Edwardsville MAC 57 57 51 58 57 57 57
58 Desmond Pleasant Drexel EIWA 57 57 51 51 57 50 52
59 Tommy Capul Maryland Big Ten 57 57 51 76 57 62 67
60 Massey Odiotti Northwestern Big Ten 57 57 51 62 57 56 58
61 Damion Ryan Bellarmine MAC 57 57 51 71 57 68 68
62 Trenton Dominguez Presbyterian SoCon 57 57 51 75 57 74 77
63 Logan Agin Duke ACC 57 57 51 50 57 55 53
64 JB Dragovich George Mason MAC 57 57 51 68 57 76 71
65 Robbie Sagaris Long Island EIWA 57 57 51 56 57 63 59
66 Blaine Frazier Indiana Big Ten 57 57 51 45 57 41 43
67 Carson Wagner Binghamton EIWA 57 57 51 54 57 44 50
68 Dylan Acevedo-Switzer Hofstra EIWA 57 57 51 64 57 72 66
69 Malik Hardy Citadel SoCon 57 57 51 59 57 61 60
70 Dayton DelViscio Navy EIWA 57 57 51 66 57 66 65
71 Eric Howe Franklin & Marshall EIWA 57 57 51 72 57 73 73
72 Max Elton Buffalo MAC 57 57 51 61 57 60 61
73 Enis Ljikovic Davidson SoCon 57 57 51 79 57 81 80
74 Caleb Edwards Edinboro MAC 57 57 51 73 57 75 76
75 Bronson Garber Bloomsburg MAC 57 57 51 69 57 70 70
76 Ryan Meek Ohio MAC 57 57 51 74 57 71 72
77 Adan Benavidez Kent State MAC 57 57 51 70 57 69 69
78 Julian Dawson Morgan State EIWA 57 57 51 68 57 78 74
79 Austin Kegley Lindenwood MAC 57 57 51 80 57 67 75
80 Tony Burke VMI SoCon 57 57 51 78 57 79 79
81 Daniel Graham Queens SoCon 57 57 51 81 57 80 81
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Flynn moves from  6 to 9, DeAug back into top 8, Camacho surges past Noto from 18 to 13 into the very crowded 7 to 16 ranked pack. Spratley v Ayala could shake up the top 5.

1 Ramos 387

2 Ayala 385

3 Spratley 357

4 Stanich 345

5 Smith 330

6 Kaylor 298

7 Surtin 270

8 DeAug 267

9 Flynn 266

10 Davis 265

11 Poulin 260

12 Jordan 253

13 Camacho 245

14 Noto 242

15 Volk 240

16 (tie) Barnett / Provo 232

18 McKee 206

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On 2/20/2024 at 7:26 AM, BloodRound said:

McKee will put on an utter display of dominance, the likes of which we have never seen before, resulting in an incredible 3rd place finish.

We all know this is happening. Backside monster!

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1 hour ago, jmoney said:

Flynn moves from  6 to 9, DeAug back into top 8, Camacho surges past Noto from 18 to 13 into the very crowded 7 to 16 ranked pack. Spratley v Ayala could shake up the top 5.

1 Ramos 387

2 Ayala 385

3 Spratley 357

4 Stanich 345

5 Smith 330

6 Kaylor 298

7 Surtin 270

8 DeAug 267

9 Flynn 266

10 Davis 265

11 Poulin 260

12 Jordan 253

13 Camacho 245

14 Noto 242

15 Volk 240

16 (tie) Barnett / Provo 232

18 McKee 206

Kaylor seems too high for a guy with 6 losses.  Sorry I don’t like your algorithm lol

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6 hours ago, 1032004 said:

Kaylor seems too high for a guy with 6 losses.  Sorry I don’t like your algorithm lol

McKee and Kaylor opponents- McKee might have 9 losses if he wrestled Kaylor's schedule. Kaylor's star is brightening. Ramos, Smith, Ayala, and Spratley and maybe Volk have harder schedules than Kaylor. They ahve 15 losses combined and guess what, they're better than your boys Barnett and McKee based on this season's body of work. I don't doubt McKee and Barnett make it competitive at Big 10s and Nationals but this represents their body of work.  Feel free to tell me how much better than Kaylor McKee is, though, I'm all ears.

McKee        Kaylor

Ramos L 

Ayala L        Ayala W

Ayala L

                    Spratley W

Smith W       Smith   L

                      Davis L

Barnett W   

Jordan  L      Jordan W   

                      Volk  W

                      Provo W

                      Ungar L

Peterson L  Strickenberger L

                       Moore L

                        Mendez W

                        Mendez W

                        Reno  L

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