Was 2015 Edinboro the Most Overachieving Team of All-Time?

[Wrestleknownothing]

Going into the 2015 tournament Edinboro was expected to score about 34 placement and advancement points based on their seeds. They actually scored 60.5 (75.5 with bonus added in).

Their projected finish was 14th based on their seeds. Their actual finish was 3rd.

And they did it with only 6 wrestlers.

My detailed data only goes back to 2010. Was there a more overachieving team prior to 2010?

[jchapman]

Or a more underachieving regular season team?

[PortaJohn]

  On 5/19/2023 at 6:02 PM, Wrestleknownothing said:

Was there a more overachieving team prior to 2010?

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Yes, the '97 Hawkeyes who were projected to place 2nd at the tourney and went on to score a record 170 points

[Wrestleknownothing]

  On 5/19/2023 at 6:17 PM, jchapman said:

Or a more underachieving regular season team?

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I don't know. They had three returning AA's who finished 4th, 3rd, 4th in 2014. Those three came in seeded 9th, 2nd, 3rd. So one lower, two higher.

[11986]

2015 Edinboro - 133 Schopp and 184 Avery deserve most of the overachieving credit. Schopp was 9 seed placed 3rd after losing first match. Pinned 4 on backside. Avery 13 seed placed 3rd. 

[Wrestleknownothing]

  On 5/19/2023 at 6:20 PM, PortaJohn said:

Yes, the '97 Hawkeyes who were projected to place 2nd at the tourney and went on to score a record 170 points

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Back of envelope, the 1997 Hawkeyes went in as 10.5 point dogs, and won by 56.5. 

A 67 point swing. Yowza.

[Jimmy Cinnabon]

And was Tim Flynn a great coach?

[TexRef]

  On 5/20/2023 at 2:08 PM, Jimmy Cinnabon said:

And was Tim Flynn a great coach?

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He still is! Beers, cheers, Mountaineers! 

[1032004]

what about Oklahoma the same year with Brewer winning the title as a 13 seed?

Edited May 21, 2023 by 1032004

[Wrestleknownothing]

  On 5/21/2023 at 10:32 AM, 1032004 said:

what about Oklahoma the same year with Brewer winning the title as a 13 seed?

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Perhaps for individual over achievement, but Oklahoma finished 18th with 29.5. 

Brewer scored 25, the other 4 wrestlers scored 4.5.

[ionel]

  On 5/21/2023 at 3:04 PM, Wrestleknownothing said:

but Oklahoma finished 18th with 29.5. 

 

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Over achieved.  Ask @SoonerKing. 

[1032004]

  On 5/21/2023 at 3:04 PM, Wrestleknownothing said:

Perhaps for individual over achievement, but Oklahoma finished 18th with 29.5. 

Brewer scored 25, the other 4 wrestlers scored 4.5.

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And what was their team projection based on seed?

[Wrestleknownothing]

  On 5/22/2023 at 1:46 AM, 1032004 said:

And what was their team projection based on seed?

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Projected at 29th based on seeds. Moved up to 18th. I still think 14th to 3rd is more impressive.