Penn State goes undefeated in session 3; predictions for semi-finals!

[Jimmy Cinnabon]

Crazy! All 7 quarterfinalists make the semis, including wild wins by Bartlett, SVN and Haines.

 

Tonight, however, only 3 out of 7 will be favored to win, by seed.

 

Here is how I see it going:

133 RBY dec McGee

141 Alirez dec Bartlett

149 Yianni maj SVN

157 Robb dec Haines

174 Starocci dec Foca

184 Brooks dec Hidlay

HWT Hendrickson dec Kerk

 

Penn State goes 3/7 in the semis, which isn't great compared to their regular success.  I see a small chance Haines and Kerk could win though which would make it 5/7 in the semis.  I think Bartlett and SVN have run out of lives though, against vastly superior opponents.

 

[PortaJohn]

5 minutes ago, Jimmy Cinnabon said:

I think Bartlett and SVN have run out of lives though, against vastly superior opponents.

When did Allirez become vastly superior to Bartlett?  I guess I missed the memo.  And Kerk is a favorite over Hendrickson.  

[Jimmy Cinnabon]

7 minutes ago, PortaJohn said:

When did Allirez become vastly superior to Bartlett?  I guess I missed the memo.  And Kerk is a favorite over Hendrickson.  

He's undefeated this year with a much higher bonus rate, he's also the 2nd seed and a former AA.  All credentials better than Bartlett.

Hendrickson is favored by seed and by performance so far in the tourney.  He is a bonus point machine.

[PortaJohn]

8 minutes ago, Jimmy Cinnabon said:

He's undefeated this year with a much higher bonus rate, he's also the 2nd seed and a former AA.  All credentials better than Bartlett.

Hendrickson is favored by seed and by performance so far in the tourney.  He is a bonus point machine.

When did Alirez AA?

[jchapman]

15 minutes ago, PortaJohn said:

When did Alirez AA?

Honorable Mention AA in 2020

[Jimmy Cinnabon]

Honors and Awards
2022 NCAA Qualifier
2022 Big 12 Champion
2021 Second Team Academic All-Big 12
2021 NCAA Qualifier
2020 NCAA Qualifier
2020 NWCA All-American Honorable Mention
2020 Northern Colorado Most Outstanding Wrestler Award

[Wrestleknownothing]

Just now, Jimmy Cinnabon said:

Honors and Awards
2022 NCAA Qualifier
2022 Big 12 Champion
2021 Second Team Academic All-Big 12
2021 NCAA Qualifier
2020 NCAA Qualifier
2020 NWCA All-American Honorable Mention
2020 Northern Colorado Most Outstanding Wrestler Award

How hard did you laugh at yourself when you posted that? 

[MPhillips]

Just now, Wrestleknownothing said:

How hard did you laugh at yourself when you posted that? 

How do folks not know he lives for this...

[mspart]

Still a pretty incredible stat.   PSU brought 9 to the dance and 7 are still jitterbugging.   That is pretty good and explains why they win the team competition most of the time.   They wrestle at or above their seed.  7 of 9 in the semis is pretty incredible.   Only one of them is out.   Dean still has the opportunity to be AA.   So 7 or 8 out of 9 AA.   That's pretty good!

mspart

Edited March 17, 2023 by mspart

[bnwtwg]

What's Carl's PSU record in the semis?

[Jimmy Cinnabon]

4 minutes ago, Wrestleknownothing said:

How hard did you laugh at yourself when you posted that? 

Not at all.  It was a a COVID year.  Those top 8 seeds were all awarded All-American honors (honorary).  It still counts.

[Jimmy Cinnabon]

Just now, bnwtwg said:

What's Carl's PSU record in the semis?

It's something crazy like 89-2.  But I think tonight he adds at least 4 losses to that.

[ionel]

9 minutes ago, Jimmy Cinnabon said:

Honors and Awards
2022 NCAA Qualifier
2022 Big 12 Champion
2021 Second Team Academic All-Big 12
2021 NCAA Qualifier
2020 NCAA Qualifier
2020 NWCA All-American Honorable Mention
2020 Northern Colorado Most Outstanding Wrestler Award

But aren't we talking about the NCAA?

[PortaJohn]

15 minutes ago, jchapman said:

Honorable Mention AA in 2020

We're counting those now?

[Jimmy Cinnabon]

4 minutes ago, ionel said:

But aren't we talking about the NCAA?

Where was that specified?

[bnwtwg]

7 minutes ago, Jimmy Cinnabon said:

It's something crazy like 89-2.  But I think tonight he adds at least 4 losses to that.

Nope. Not taking the bait. We do this every four years with a new crop and every four years Team Carl wins half the weights. It's like betting against the house and I'm not falling for it anymore. After 12 years I have finally learned to never ever bet against PSU ever again.

[Wrestleknownothing]

22 minutes ago, Jimmy Cinnabon said:

Not at all.  It was a a COVID year.  Those top 8 seeds were all awarded All-American honors (honorary).  It still counts.

You may want to check the definition of Honorable Mention

[jchapman]

22 minutes ago, PortaJohn said:

We're counting those now?

We meaning Jimmy

[flyingcement]

 

[Wrestleknownothing]

2 hours ago, Jimmy Cinnabon said:

Not at all.  It was a a COVID year.  Those top 8 seeds were all awarded All-American honors (honorary).  It still counts.

Honorable Mention wasn't the top 8, it wasn't even the next four. It was the next, next four. Also know as 13-16. You know? Because he was the 14 seed. 

[SocraTease]

It's interesting that Penn State's lightweights have done better (all 4 in the semis) than their vaunted upper weights (3 in semis; one out; one in round of 12).  

Who would have predicted that?