bnwtwg Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 O/U is currently at 4.5 according to Vegas (Lee, Woods, Starocci, Brooks are favorites) I am taking the under this year and will gladly partake in a signature bet for anyone who feels otherwise. i am an idiot on the internet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
11986 Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 RBY not a favorite in Vegas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bnwtwg Posted March 15, 2023 Author Share Posted March 15, 2023 On 3/15/2023 at 2:18 PM, 11986 said: RBY not a favorite in Vegas? Expand Fix is for some reason. Blew my mind too! 2 i am an idiot on the internet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scouts Honor Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TylerDurden Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 On 3/15/2023 at 2:25 PM, bnwtwg said: Fix is for some reason. Blew my mind too! Expand Vegas favorites aren't always the true favorite. They post lines to create action. Make no mistake, RBY is the favorite on the mat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Packard Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 100% take the over. Lee, RBY, Star, and Brooks are heavy favorites. I have a hard time believing some combination of Woods, Haines, Dean, and Kerk don’t win it too. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wrestleknownothing Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 Math tells me one thing. My heart tells me something else. I want to take the over on 4.5. This is why Vegas has been known to make a few dollars. Drowning in data, but thirsting for knowledge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eagle26 Posted March 16, 2023 Share Posted March 16, 2023 On 3/15/2023 at 9:53 PM, Wrestleknownothing said: Math tells me one thing. My heart tells me something else. I want to take the over on 4.5. This is why Vegas has been known to make a few dollars.I guess it depends what numbers you look at. In the last 5 championships, the schools combined avg. was 5 champs. They did have four one of those years but also had six one year. I’m not sure what formula you used to get PSUs expected champs at only 1.5, but I’d definitely take the over on that :) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wrestleknownothing Posted March 16, 2023 Share Posted March 16, 2023 On 3/16/2023 at 1:44 AM, Eagle26 said: I guess it depends what numbers you look at. In the last 5 championships, the schools combined avg. was 5 champs. They did have four one of those years but also had six one year. I’m not sure what formula you used to get PSUs expected champs at only 1.5, but I’d definitely take the over on that Expand Drowning in data, but thirsting for knowledge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1032004 Posted March 16, 2023 Share Posted March 16, 2023 On 3/15/2023 at 8:37 PM, Packard said: 100% take the over. Lee, RBY, Star, and Brooks are heavy favorites. I have a hard time believing some combination of Woods, Haines, Dean, and Kerk don’t win it too. Expand This Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eagle26 Posted March 16, 2023 Share Posted March 16, 2023 On 3/16/2023 at 2:11 AM, Wrestleknownothing said: Gotcha. Btw I thoroughly appreciate all the data you provide. Not trying to discredit all your hard work at all. I just think that this particular data set is skewed a bit by Brooks somehow getting the 3 seed and Dean getting the 9 seed. I think Brooks is a clear #1 at his weight and IMO he’s the third mostly likely to win out of all the weights (behind Lee and Yianni). Dean deserved the 9 seed but he’s much more likely to win it all than your typical #9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wrestleknownothing Posted March 16, 2023 Share Posted March 16, 2023 On 3/16/2023 at 3:03 PM, Eagle26 said: Gotcha. Btw I thoroughly appreciate all the data you provide. Not trying to discredit all your hard work at all. I just think that this particular data set is skewed a bit by Brooks somehow getting the 3 seed and Dean getting the 9 seed. I think Brooks is a clear #1 at his weight and IMO he’s the third mostly likely to win out of all the weights (behind Lee and Yianni). Dean deserved the 9 seed but he’s much more likely to win it all than your typical #9 Expand agreed on all counts Drowning in data, but thirsting for knowledge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bnwtwg Posted March 16, 2023 Author Share Posted March 16, 2023 On 3/16/2023 at 3:03 PM, Eagle26 said: Gotcha. Btw I thoroughly appreciate all the data you provide. Not trying to discredit all your hard work at all. I just think that this particular data set is skewed a bit by Brooks somehow getting the 3 seed and Dean getting the 9 seed. I think Brooks is a clear #1 at his weight and IMO he’s the third mostly likely to win out of all the weights (behind Lee and Yianni). Dean deserved the 9 seed but he’s much more likely to win it all than your typical #9 Expand I think Brooks is more likely than Yianni. Brooks is a machine and I am still shocked that he was upset this season. I expect to see him in the top 3, at worst, for most tourney points this weekend. He's a baaaaaad man i am an idiot on the internet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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