Thomas Gilman at the 2020 Olympics (Photo/Tony Rotundo; WrestlersAreWarriors.com)
Olympic bronze medalist #3 Thomas Gilman (USA) is coming off a career best performance in Tokyo, falling by the thinnest of margins to Olympic champion #1 Zavur Uguev (RWF) and notching huge wins over #5 Gulomyon Abdullaev (UZB) and #4 Reza Atri (IRI).Even with Gilman's career best, him as a lock for gold is no sure bet as a pair of old rivals in #6 Abubakar Mutaliev (RWF) and #8 Suleyman Atli (TUR) threaten to usurp Gilman's newfound momentum. #15 Aryan Tyutrin (BLR), #14 Bekhbayar Erdenebat (MGL) and European bronze medalist Afghan Khashalov (AZE) round out a strong field with no returning world champion at the weight.
Title Contenders
#6 Abubakar Mutaliev (RWF) made the Russian team after winning wrestle-offs against 2019 national champion #7 Ramiz Gamzatov (RWF) and 2020 National runner-up #10 Azamat Tuskaev (RWF). Mutaliev has a high output style with a great knee pull single and two past wins over #3 Thomas Gilman (USA) from the 2019 Intercontinental Cup and the 2019 Alans and is a very real title threat.
#3 Thomas Gilman (USA) is the returning Olympic bronze medalist at this weight and looked at his career best in Tokyo. While Gilman has had early season issues with consistency and dropping matches, come time for World's or the Olympics, Gilman is historically dialed in and I expect to see this here in a dangerous field with past foes.
#8 Suleyman Atli (TUR) was the returning world runner-up going into the Olympics and the number two ranked athlete in the world but a close opening round lose to eventual 5th place finisher #4 Reza Atri (IRI) stopped his chances of Olympic hardware. Against a rejuvenated Gilman and debuting Mutaliev, I don't immediately take Atli but he's still dangerous and a good bet against the rest of the field.
Medal Contenders
Out of the medal contender tier, I'm taking #15 Aryan Tyutrin (BLR) as the guy with the most breakout potential as evident by his past wins over #7 Ramiz Gamzatov (RWF), #12 Nurislam Sanayev (KAZ), and Muslim Sadualaev (RWF). Afghan Khashalov (AZE) did beat him in the bronze medal match of Euros and there's some bad feeling in my gut that Khashalov puts together a quarterfinal run beating guys I like more than him, but for the time being I'll pull for Tyutrin out of the group.
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